Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#210
Pace72.1#126
Improvement+3.9#32

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#169
First Shot-0.7#203
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#111
Layup/Dunks+2.0#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#286
Freethrows+1.4#80
Improvement+4.3#16

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#278
First Shot-3.2#269
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks-2.4#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#297
Freethrows+1.1#92
Improvement-0.4#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four52.1% n/a n/a
First Round76.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 25   @ Vanderbilt L 41-80 4%     0 - 1 -21.7 -25.2 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2015 13   @ Indiana L 76-102 3%     0 - 2 -7.0 -0.8 -2.7
  Nov 18, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-80 38%     0 - 3 -3.6 +0.2 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2015 204   Cal Poly L 64-73 46%     0 - 4 -11.8 -13.7 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2015 310   @ Northern Colorado W 91-76 62%     1 - 4 +7.9 +17.8 -8.9
  Nov 28, 2015 224   Samford W 74-73 61%     2 - 4 -5.6 +3.8 -9.4
  Dec 02, 2015 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 48-61 28%     2 - 5 -10.9 -21.6 +10.4
  Dec 05, 2015 285   @ Troy W 80-71 55%     3 - 5 +4.0 +7.1 -3.0
  Dec 12, 2015 132   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-85 19%     3 - 6 -11.8 -9.4 -1.5
  Dec 16, 2015 178   @ North Florida L 70-80 29%     3 - 7 -8.0 -12.0 +4.6
  Dec 20, 2015 279   @ Lipscomb W 92-84 53%     4 - 7 +3.3 +7.4 -4.8
  Dec 22, 2015 187   Wofford W 84-77 52%     5 - 7 +2.6 +3.3 -1.0
  Dec 28, 2015 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-74 50%     5 - 8 -7.8 -9.5 +2.1
  Jan 02, 2016 201   Eastern Kentucky L 70-79 56%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -14.5 -11.6 -2.5
  Jan 07, 2016 293   Jacksonville St. W 73-54 77%     6 - 9 1 - 1 +7.3 -5.6 +12.9
  Jan 09, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech L 66-72 55%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -11.1 -7.1 -4.4
  Jan 14, 2016 167   @ Tennessee St. L 52-66 27%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -11.6 -17.4 +5.6
  Jan 16, 2016 138   @ Belmont L 58-76 21%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -13.2 -22.4 +10.7
  Jan 21, 2016 309   SIU Edwardsville W 90-86 OT 80%     7 - 12 2 - 4 -8.9 -3.7 -5.9
  Jan 23, 2016 264   Eastern Illinois L 86-87 OT 70%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -10.3 -2.6 -7.6
  Jan 27, 2016 144   @ Morehead St. L 65-75 22%     7 - 14 2 - 6 -5.8 -1.4 -4.9
  Jan 30, 2016 338   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 86-80 74%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -4.7 +6.3 -11.3
  Feb 04, 2016 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 77-86 38%     8 - 15 3 - 7 -9.6 -0.8 -8.5
  Feb 06, 2016 174   @ Murray St. W 76-73 28%     9 - 15 4 - 7 +5.2 +4.9 +0.4
  Feb 10, 2016 264   @ Eastern Illinois W 79-70 48%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +5.5 +7.3 -1.3
  Feb 13, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin L 84-85 OT 60%     10 - 16 5 - 8 -7.5 -0.5 -6.9
  Feb 20, 2016 174   Murray St. L 60-76 49%     10 - 17 5 - 9 -19.6 -7.2 -14.9
  Feb 25, 2016 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 80-75 62%     11 - 17 6 - 9 -2.1 +4.8 -6.9
  Feb 27, 2016 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-75 88%     12 - 17 7 - 9 -8.6 -4.1 -5.2
  Mar 02, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech W 92-72 43%     13 - 17 +17.8 +7.6 +8.8
  Mar 03, 2016 167   Tennessee St. W 74-72 37%     14 - 17 +1.5 +0.2 +1.3
  Mar 04, 2016 138   Belmont W 97-96 OT 29%     15 - 17 +2.9 +10.8 -8.0
  Mar 05, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin W 83-73 49%     16 - 17 +6.5 +11.3 -4.3
Projected Record 16.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0